Briefing :: Uzbekistan: Three Years after Andijan

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UNITED STATES COMMISSION ON SECURITY AND COOPERATION IN EUROPE 
(HELSINKI COMMISSION) HOLDS BRIEFING:  HUMAN RIGHTS IN UZBEKISTAN THREE YEARS 
AFTER ANDIJAN EVENTS


MAY 13, 2008

COMMISSIONERS:

REP. ALCEE L. HASTINGS, D-FLA., CHAIRMAN
       REP. LOUISE M. SLAUGHTER, D-N.Y.
       REP. MIKE MCINTYRE, D-N.C.
       REP. HILDA L. SOLIS, D-CALIF.
       REP. G.K. BUTTERFIELD, D-N.C.
       REP. CHRISTOPHER H. SMITH, R-N.J.
       REP. ROBERT B. ADERHOLT, R-ALA.
       REP. MIKE PENCE, R-IND.
       REP. JOSEPH R. PITTS, R-PENN.

       SEN. BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, D-MD., CO-CHAIRMAN
       SEN. CHRISTOPHER J. DODD, D-CONN.
       SEN. RUSSELL D. FEINGOLD, D-WIS.
       SEN. HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON, D-N.Y.
       SEN. JOHN F. KERRY, D-MASS.
       SEN. SAM BROWNBACK, R-KAN.
       SEN. GORDON H. SMITH, R-ORE.
       SEN. SAXBY CHAMBLISS, R-GA.
       SEN. RICHARD BURR, R-N.C.


WITNESSES/PANELISTS:
MASHA LISITSYNA,
HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH'S EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA DIVISION

SHAHIDA TULAGANOVA,
DOCUMENTARY FILM MAKER WHO LAUNCHED THE 
UZBEK-LANGUAGE NEWSPAPER SIYOSAT

JULIETTE WILLIAMS,
FOUNDING DIRECTOR,
ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE FOUNDATION

ERIC MCGLINCHEY,
ASSISTANT PROFESSOR OF GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS,
GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY

               [The briefing was held at 10:00 a.m. in Room B-319 of the 
Rayburn House Office Building, Washington, D.C., Ron McNamara, international 
policy director for the Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe, 
moderating]

     [*]
MCNAMARA:  Good morning, ladies and gentlemen.  My name is Ron McNamara.  I'm 
currently serving as the international policy director for the Commission on 
Security and Cooperation in Europe.

We welcome you to today's briefing, which is co-sponsored by the Helsinki 
Commission along with the Open Society Institute of the Soros Foundation.

As it happens, Congress does not reconvene until late this afternoon, and 
unfortunately Congressman Alcee Hastings, our commission chairman, could not 
return from his district in Florida in time to open today's proceedings.

However, he is very much interested in the subject, having been a visitor to 
Uzbekistan numerous times.  And we will report...

(AUDIO GAP)

... have things gotten worse, or have they largely remained the same?

And we would like to ask our witnesses to discuss various aspects of the 
current situation...

(AUDIO GAP) 

... apart from the general issues of democratization and human rights 
observance, they will also address the problem of child labor in the cotton 
industry.

Among our witnesses are experts on that subject, which has recently been 
drawing considerable international attention.

Finally, we want our witnesses to talk about the state of U.S.-Uzbek relations 
and the possibility for improving those ties.

In the order in which our experts will be speaking this morning, we have Masha 
Lisitsyna, Human Rights Watch's Europe and Central Asia Division.  She was the 
primary author of the just-released Human Rights Watch report on Uzbekistan.  
And there are copies available outside of our briefing room today.

Then we'll hear from Shahida Tulaganova, a documentary film maker who launched 
the Uzbek-language newspaper Siyosat.

Third, we'll hear from Juliette Williams, founding director of the 
Environmental Justice Foundation, a U.K.-based nonprofit, and a principal 
author of "White Gold:  Uzbekistan, Cotton and the Crushing of a Nation."

She has 16 years experience in field investigations, international advocacy and 
capacity-building for grassroots environment and human rights defenders.

And last but not least, we'll hear from Dr. Eric McGlinchey, associate 
professor of government and politics at George Mason University and a 
specialist on Central Asia.  He's testified with us previously, and we are 
delighted to have him back this morning.

So at this point, I will turn to Ms. Lisitsyna.

LISITSYNA:  Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

Good morning, everybody.  I have an honor to present our last report on 
Andijan.  It's our third report.

And we'd like to start with a remark that when we think about Andijan, we think 
about at least three tragedies that affect hundreds of people each, and they 
still continue to affect people today.

One is the massacre itself, and I think everybody in the room knows that 
hundreds of people there were killed by Uzbek governmental forces.

And still today, Uzbek government did not recognize its responsibility for this 
massacre and did not allow the independent international investigation into the 
events.

The second is the crackdown, when hundreds of people were tortured after the 
events.  Hundreds of people continue to perish in Uzbek jails after the unfair 
trials, and they want them -- the human rights defenders.

And (inaudible) some progress.  It's released eight of the human rights 
defenders.  But we should remember that at least 12 of other defenders are 
still in Uzbek jails today and have no hope for their soon release and 
recognition of their rights.

And this whole tragedy -- it's what our report (inaudible) speak about.  It's a 
tragedy that happens today.  It's a repression that continues in Andijan.

The targets among the general population; also very specific groups of people 
who are described in this report that you are welcome to help yourself with 
outside of the room after the event.

Uzbek government continues to target those who stayed in Andijan and could have 
witnessed anything that happened on May 13, 2005.  The report that we just 
released documents that people continue to be interrogated.

The new criminal cases are started against the witness of the events.  People 
are still tortured today.  All the interviews in the report are 2007, 2008.  
It's all new interviews that we conducted outside of Uzbekistan.

And they're threatened of imprisonment, and they're forced to testify against 
the others, and most of the confessions are false.

The other group that they've really targeted -- it's relatives of anybody who 
fled the country and also of anybody who is in prison.  We documented constant 
repression against, I would say, all families.  All the relatives we 
interviewed were summoned to the police.  Some were beaten.  Some were not.

Mahala committees, which has neighborhood committees but which serves Uzbek 
government for its source of local administration, always come to the homes, 
deprives the families of the social benefits.

And we documented also the repression of the children, who are often called in 
schools by teachers the children of the enemies of the state.

And again, this happens today, three years after the massacre.  What happens -- 
it's a little bit less visible.  If directly after the massacre people were 
called like every day or every week to the police, now it's every two months, 
every month, every three months.  It depends.  But it will happen.

Families reported to us the constant surveillance.  They often have like 
unidentified cars waiting near to their houses.  Some women spoke to us that 
they can't visit other families during the public holidays.

All of them or most of them are forced to sign the undertaking not to leave 
Andijan, do not travel abroad, do not go abroad to join their families.

And the new pattern that the report documents -- it's extensive pressure on the 
families to call the refugees back.  As you know, about 500 people fled 
Andijan, managed to fled Andijan, in 2005, and most of them were resettled in 
western countries, in United States and Europe.

Uzbek government put a lot of effort now to bring refugees back, and refugee 
organizations call this return of the refugees unprecedented.  All families of 
the resettled refugees reported to us that they are asked by the law 
enforcement bodies to call their relatives back.

Some of refugees, some of our interviewees, reported the whole schemes, how it 
should work, that some of the main defendants at Andijan trial, like important 
family, would get a deal with the security forces that one of the resettler 
refugees from the family would return, and someone else from this family would 
be released from prison or would stop being tortured.

And then the returned refugee would tell to others how great it is to be in 
Andijan, that everything is in the past now, and other will come back as well.

We did not manage to speak to any one of the returnees from the United States, 
but we spoke to people who returned from Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, and we 
spoke to a number of people who knew the returnees.

And they all told us that all the returnees are isolated.  Most of them cannot 
find work.  Employers are prohibited to hire more than one returnee.  They 
can't -- like two persons can't be hired to the same place.  The employer will 
have repercussions.  And they only can communicate with each other under cover.

The report speaks more about the problems.  I have limited time, so I will not 
go on into the more repression that Uzbek government still exercise in Andijan. 

I would just also mention that people who are released from prison connected to 
Andijan events are forced to work as informants for the government.

And in most cases, they're not only forced to report to the security forces, 
but also to sign false confessions, identify false people as participants of 
the event, report if they see anybody who might have been connected to Andijan, 
and also they're forced to ask other refugees to return.

Mr. Chairman spoke about the sanctions that European Union imposed on 
Uzbekistan and recently suspended again.

Human Rights Watch thinks that if sanctions are suspended, the most important 
is to prolong the sanctions, that, OK, they might be suspended for six months, 
but the threat of sanctions should continue.  It shouldn't be abolished 
altogether.

And there's also legislation on the foreign appropriations bill in United 
States that should be considered in June that contains the threat as well of 
sanctions on Uzbekistan if considerable progress on human rights is not 
achieved.

Human Rights Watch believes that the sanctions do work, but the most important 
is to assure the human rights improvement, the progress.

If the government of Uzbekistan is able to demonstrate -- would be able to 
demonstrate considerable progress on human rights for sure, we wouldn't need 
the sanctions.  But unfortunately, to date, it's still not the case.

And we think that international community should not forget Andijan and forget 
that Andijan is not only three years ago but, as our report documents, it's 
still today.  Thank you.

MCNAMARA:  Thank you very much.

Before turning to Ms. Tulaganova, I should mention that the format of our 
briefing today -- should time permit at the end, we'll be happy to entertain 
questions from the audience.

Also, I should mention that within 24 hours we'll have a transcript online at 
the commission's Web site, new and improved Web site, which is www.CSCE.gov.

Ms. Tulaganova?

TULAGANOVA:  So three years after Andijan tragedy, and we hear the voices 
within the European Union and the United States saying that let's forget 
Andijan and move on.

But before we consider whether to move on or not, let's concentrate on the 
facts on the ground, right, and I would like to compliment the speech of my 
colleague, Masha Lisitsyna, on human rights in Uzbekistan, as she brilliantly 
did in Andijan.

Now, some human rights statistics.  Six or eight human rights defenders which 
were released is great.

We have the statistics on civil society activists, which include journalists, 
opposition members and simple NGO workers.  From the period of from 2005 to 
2008, 43 civil society activists were jailed.  And at the moment, 27 are still 
in jail.  Twenty-four were released.

Torture is still endemic in Uzbek penitentiary system.  It was stated in the 
U.N. report on torture in 2007.

The recent cases -- and probably the most prominent are Mutabarta Jibiava (ph), 
the human rights defender who's still in prison and in very bad health.  
According to her daughters, she is severely tortured.

And then Uzbek poet Yusuf Juma, who was arrested in December 2007.  His house 
was attacked by Uzbek security services, and he was jailed for five years.  His 
only crime, as far as he's concerned, is to voice his opposition and protest 
against illegitimate presidential elections in Uzbekistan.

Now, according to the information of his lawyer and his family, he was badly 
tortured, he lost weight, and he's in very ill health.

As far as the freedom of speech is concerned, the situation is not better. 
There were no improvements in Uzbekistan in this respect.  Internet is still 
very controlled by the government.  There is no access to opposition or any 
news (inaudible) as you probably know.

And the highlight of this whole thing was the murder of a Kyrgyz ethnic Uzbek 
journalist from Kyrgyzstan, Alisher Saipov, in October 2007 in the southern 
Kyrgyz city of Osh.

He was the editor of the Uzbek-language newspaper Siyosat, which proved to be 
incredibly popular in the neighboring Uzbekistan.  The investigation still goes 
on, but we believe that he was killed by the Uzbek security operatives.

Now, the silent victims of this regime are not adults but children.  At least 
two million schoolchildren from the age of nine to 15 every year are forced to 
work in Uzbek cotton fields to pick cotton.

This cotton industry profits only one people, only certain amount of people in 
the country -- it's political elite.  Nobody else gets anything out of this 
cotton.

Our children are kept in inhumane conditions.  They don't have adequate food, 
hygiene.  They are kept there from two to three months, and they have no right 
to education, so potentially we're facing an illiterate generation.

Poverty -- there were no -- the situation of poverty is getting worse.  I think 
the only reason this country still survives is because we have the huge army of 
labor migrants in Kazakhstan and Russia.

And I think the only reason that people are still not dying because of hunger 
is because every member of the family has got somebody who is working outside 
of Uzbekistan.

Presidential elections in 2007 were absolutely illegitimate.  We are very 
disappointed as a civil society that no one actually said anything -- no one 
meaning not the European Union, not the United States -- said anything 
significant condemning these elections.

And the fact is that everyone is dealing with illegitimate president and 
illegitimate government.

Now, we think that sanctions work, and we totally support the position of the 
Human Rights Watch, because at least the government has something to fear.

In 2006, where the sanctions had its climax, we had nine civil society 
activists being released.  In 2007, none of them has been released.

So I think in this case, sanctions should be continued, and the pressure should 
continue to be put on on the government of Uzbekistan.  Many thanks.

MCNAMARA:  Thank you.  Thank you very much.

Next will be Ms. Williams.  And at the end of her formal presentation, there'll 
be a brief video presentation which I understand is available through your Web 
site.

WILLIAMS:  Thank you.

Good morning and thank you, everyone, for this very valuable and timely 
opportunity to speak to you today.

I want to again reiterate the comments that my colleague Shahida has made and 
make a direct link between severe human rights and environmental abuses and 
cotton production in Uzbekistan.

And we'll be showing a short film -- it's six or seven minutes long -- which I 
hope will inspire you to take action on this.

Uzbek cotton production is one of the most exploitative enterprises in the 
world.  It's governed and controlled by the dictatorship led by Islam Karimov.

Uzbekistan is the world's third largest exporter of cotton, and it provides the 
regime with around $1 billion U.S. each year.

The government rigidly controls all aspects of the industry.  It dictates 
cotton production quotas.  It compels farmers to sell their cotton to 
state-owned export companies at a fraction of its true value.  And it motivates 
producers with an array of more or less brutal forms of intimidation and 
control.

Underpinning the entire industry is the systematical use of forced child labor 
and slave wages in order to maximize profits to the state, with little or no 
return for laborers or wider society.

What this means is every time we buy a garment that contains Uzbek cotton, we 
are directly benefitting a small minority that is exploiting its own people for 
its own benefit, suppressing freedoms for the Uzbek people and meeting 
opposition with intimidation and violence.

Uzbekistan is, I believe, entirely unique in the world for its use of 
state-sponsored forced child labor.  Each year, tens of thousands of children 
are made to work in the annual cotton harvest, with children as young as seven 
being given daily cotton quotas that they must fulfill.  This is a Soviet-style 
regime.

An estimated 200,000 children are forced to work in the fields in the Ferghana 
region alone each year.

And alongside the forced child labor and other well-documented human rights 
abuses, cotton production has been characterized by a really devastating 
environmental cost.  It can take up to 20,000 pints of water to produce just 
one pound of Uzbek cotton.

The total failure of the government to reinvest in a crumbling Soviet-era 
infrastructure means that 60 percent of the water that's diverted from water 
courses and some of the natural rivers never even reaches the cotton fields.  
It's lost on the way.

As a direct result, the Aral Sea, which was once the world's fourth largest 
inland sea, has been drained to just 15 percent of its former volume.  And this 
is what the United Nations has described as one of the most staggering 
disasters of the 20th century.

Such a system of exploitation has only been possible within the framework of 
totalitarian control.  Efforts at liberalization, at dialogue, at outside 
pressure and engagement must be seen within this context.

Such has been the concern within Europe, where I'm based, that many of the 
E.U.'s leading clothing manufacturers, retailers and supermarkets, which 
include Tesco, the world's third largest retailer, have joined with us in a 
prohibition on selling products containing Uzbek cotton.

And this is a considerable achievement, and it's required the implementation of 
supply chain tracking mechanisms, and it's sent an unequivocal message of 
concern to the Uzbek government.

Along with this corporate action, European governments have publicly expressed 
their disquiet, most recently witnessed by the statement of the Dutch foreign 
minister, Maxime Verhagen, at the seventh session of the United Nations Human 
Rights Council, where he explicitly highlighted their opposition to the use of 
forced child labor in the Uzbek cotton industry.

Before showing the short film, I appeal to the Helsinki Commission and to 
people here today to engage in a full examination of the human rights and 
environmental abuses connected to cotton production in Uzbekistan.

This process would prove extremely valuable, as Uzbek journalists and civil 
society activists are intimidated, detained or are now in exile, and the regime 
continues to stifle the flow of accurate information and denies that child 
labor or other abuses are endemic in cotton production.

Our concern, EJF's concern, shared, I'm sure with the commission, is to see 
rural families relieved of state-enforced poverty, an end to brutal repression 
and to secure a better future for the Uzbek people.  Thank you.

MCNAMARA:  Thank you very much.

Yes, why don't we proceed with Dr. McGlinchey's presentation, and then if 
technical difficulties can be overcome, then we'll show the brief video?

MCGLINCHEY:  Thank you.  And thank you for the opportunity to speak today.  
What I'd like to do is address the question that the chairman posed -- namely, 
can the United States encourage reform in Uzbekistan?

In the presentation, I'll provide an answer, one answer.  I'm not quite sure if 
it's the right answer, but I'll try.  I'll also provide a caution.  Let me just 
outline what the answer is.

The answer is that there are several underlying structural conditions which are 
changing which are conducive to an opening, a political opening, in Uzbekistan. 
 The structural conditions that I'd like to cite in particular are three. 

The first is the growing realization that Karshi-Khanabad, known here in the 
United States as K2, the air base in Uzbekistan, is not critical to U.S. 
operations or NATO operations in Afghanistan.  In fact, one could call it 
relatively unimportant for U.S. and NATO operations in Afghanistan.  That would 
be the first.

The second thing I'll point to is the political legacy concerns of the Uzbek 
leader himself, Islam Karimov.  Increasingly, I would argue that Karimov is 
looking to his future, and it's one that I believe fills him with fright, if 
not outright terror.

And then the third one is what I essentially call a scissors effect, drawing 
from Soviet history, but this is the dual pressures of changing commodity 
prices or potentially changing commodity prices.

One is increased food prices that the Uzbekistan population itself faces.  And 
the second, as Ms. Williams noted herself, is the potential for a decrease in 
revenues from the cotton industry, the Uzbek cotton industry, which would 
result if the international boycott of Uzbek cotton is successful.

The caution which I'll talk about is simple, and that is political openings, 
while they present opportunities for reform, for engagement of autocratic 
regimes, equally present opportunities for retrenchment.

It depends how a regime is going to react to these different structural 
conditions, these pressures.  And I would say that it's as equally likely that 
facing these pressures the Uzbek government may backslide rather than reform, 
and it's incumbent upon the United States and the international community to 
encourage the positive outcome rather than the negative outcome.

Now let me just briefly talk about these structural conditions, first beginning 
with Karshi-Khanabad.  I think the argument -- and this has been presented well 
by people like Alexander Khuli (ph) -- is that military bases in autocratic 
countries often encourage autocracy.  That is, western military bases in 
autocratic countries may encourage rather than discourage increased autocracy.

And in the case of Uzbekistan, I think what we've seen here is a very 
intelligent coupling of the international war against terrorism with Karimov's 
attempt to portray himself as a partner in this war against terrorism.

The trick here, though, is that while the United States and NATO are fighting 
real terrorist groups like Al Qaida and the Taliban, Islam Karimov is fighting 
people like domestic political reformers, human rights activists and business 
men whom he is portraying as militant Islamists.

The departure of the United States from K2, from Karchi-Khanabad, I think has 
fundamentally undermined the Karimov government's ability to portray itself as 
a partner in this war against terror.

At the same time, it's had no adverse effects, at least as far as I understand 
from my conversations with people at the U.S. Central Command, on operations, 
NATO operations, in the region.

And here, I would just urge the U.S. Congress as it considers the appointment 
of the next central commander after -- you all know that Admiral Fallon has 
departed -- to perhaps revisit some of the recent statements that Admiral 
Fallon made before Congress when he noted the United States has begun new 
security dialogues with Uzbek government.

There is a causality between U.S. bases or military bases writ large in 
autocratic regimes and growing authoritarianism, and I would simply urge the 
Congress to raise this causality in its confirmation hearings when it considers 
the next commander of U.S. Central Command.

The second structural change is what I call political legacies or Islam 
Karimov's fear of his own political legacy.  And it's interesting for me as a 
scholar, essentially, to reflect on what I call the class of 1991, the five 
leaders who came to power suddenly after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 
Central Asia.

Of these five leaders, only two remain.  And I think if you look at what's 
happened since Andijan in May 2005, the decreasing positive legacy, the 
declining positive legacy, of people like President Akayev in Kyrgyzstan and, 
most recently, the literal dismantling of the legacy of Niyazov in Turkmenistan 
-- the removing of statues and moving of statues -- the outright rejection of 
political legacies of the previous leaders, I think it would be understandable 
to reason that people like Karimov, smart leaders like Karimov, are concerned 
about what the future holds for his legacy.

And rather go down the path that his neighbors have in Turkmenistan and 
Kyrgyzstan, I don't think it would be a stretch to imagine that Karimov is 
looking north to Russia, to the Yeltsin-Putin succession, or the Putin-Medvedev 
succession.

And here I think there's an opportunity for the west.  It's not too hard to 
imagine someone like Medvedev beyond his inclination towards Deep Purple and 
other western hard rock bands, to also have an inclination for the west more 
broadly.

So although this may be a hand-picked successor, although this may be someone 
who pays respect to Islam Karimov, should he replace Karimov, nevertheless I 
think this is a real opportunity for the west to potentially engage whoever 
this might be. 

And the engagement has to begin now, because those people are in the government 
today.  I regularly speak to people within the Uzbek government both here -- 
I'm not saying the mission here in Washington, but people who travel to 
Washington -- and people from the Uzbek government who are traveling throughout 
Central Asia.

And it's remarkable to note that although outwardly they may state the Uzbek 
government's party line, there's considerable diversity of opinions and a 
healthy diversity of opinions within the Uzbek government.

So engaging these people today I think will stand the United States and the 
international community well in the future.

The last structural change that I would argue has happened since May 2005 is 
this dual pressure in commodity prices.  We all know well the pressures that 
rising food prices are having on autocratic governments throughout the world -- 
not just autocratic governments, but just governments, period.

I mean, public frustration with the cost of food leads to increasing demands on 
the government, so that's clear.  What's, I think, been well outlined by Ms. 
Williams is the potential effect a cotton boycott might have on the Uzbek 
government.

This is an industry that brings the Uzbek government -- the figures I've seen 
-- about $1 billion in U.S. hard currency every year.  And absent this easy 
ready access to these resources, it would be incredibly difficult for the 
Karimov regime to fund the instruments of repression that he has used to 
maintain power thus far.

So we have essentially a scissors effect that's going on here that is 
undermining the very fragile foundations, the already fragile foundations, of 
the Uzbek government.

Just to sum up, and this is the caution, I do fear that these structural 
conditions can equally lead to repression as they can lead to reform.  We've 
already heard about some of the repression that has occurred in recent years.

The sentencing of Umida Niazova in May 2007 to -- initially, it was seven years 
in jail.  Now it's a three years to seven sentence.  Now I guess that's changed 
as well -- but still, the publicly shaming a human rights activist.

Alisher Saipov, a colleague which many of us have worked closely with in 
Kyrgyzstan -- his murder in 2007 -- who security services have told me through 
intermediaries was carried out by Uzbek agents.

This would indicate that a vulnerable Karimov regime, a threatened Karimov 
regime, may turn toward repression rather than reform.  So it's incumbent upon 
the United States to perhaps learn from best practices from the past.

We've learned from what's happened with Karshi-Khanabad and the challenges that 
go along with military engagement.  What I would urge, rather than a military 
engagement or new security relationships, is a concerted focus on political 
engagement.

I know this is incredibly messy.  Conditionality and sanctions don't always 
work.  But I think if you look at past political engagement, particularly of 
the political activist community, the human rights community, U.S. engagement 
in essence served as a lifeline to these people.

And I would urge that we maintain this engagement even at the cost of perhaps 
lessening sanctions, just so that we can maintain this lifeline to people like 
Umi Vinyazeveh (ph), who have done such critical work in promoting political 
reform in this incredibly promising yet politically troubling country.  Thank 
you.

MCNAMARA:  I would ask, before opening up to questions, if Ms. Williams could 
just pitch her Web site, where the video can be viewed online.

WILLIAMS:  Apologies.  Sorry.  The technical hitch continues.  I have some 
copies of the short film if people want to get one from me.  I'll put them on 
the table at back, and/or our Web site, which is on the back of the report, 
which (inaudible).

MCNAMARA:  Thank you.

For questions from the audience, we ask that you would use -- Josh will 
activate one of the microphones on the dais here.  And if you could just 
identify yourself, any affiliation that you have, and if the question is being 
posed to a specific panelist, please do so.

A couple of thoughts that did come to mind was sort of of the infamous class of 
'91, if you will, certainly in the OSCE context, Kazakhstan and President 
Nazarbayev are slated to take over as the political leadership through the 
chairmanship of OSCE in 2010, so it will be very interesting to see how they 
handle crises should they arise, including those potentially in the region, 
including in Uzbekistan, as has been outlined.

The other issue that the commission has looked into, to some extent, is the 
whole question of sort of other actors and the whole question of the Shanghai 
Cooperation Organization.

And we apparently do have the video, so before we lose it, let's go to that.

(VIDEO IS PLAYED)

MCNAMARA:  One final point is you were -- there was some reference to a 
lifeline, and certainly the OSCE does maintain a mission on the ground in 
Uzbekistan.

But not surprisingly, it has been increasingly difficult for them to undertake 
meaningful activities that they were prior to Andijan, in the aftermath, 
especially as it pertains to questions of human rights, or the human dimension, 
as we call it.

So that's another point that I wanted to make as well...

(AUDIO GAP) 

... anyone from the audience with questions or if there's any response to any 
of the points, especially on the SCO and the relations between Kazakhstan and 
Uzbekistan.  If you want to allude to those at some point, that would be great.

So the microphone is open for anyone who would like to pose a question.  And 
again, please identify yourself and any affiliation.

DAVID SANDS:  Yes, David Sands of the Washington Times.  Thank you.

You mentioned the Fallon visit, and also I understand the Karimov -- was it the 
NATO -- something in Bucharest?  Do you think in some sense Karimov thinks he 
has won, that he's waited things out and that the world has basically given him 
a pass, and he's come back into the community of nations?

MCGLINCHEY:  I'm sure our colleagues on the panel will have a lot to offer.

My sense is Karimov -- I mean, recent government reports have rejected the 
rumor of flights, U.S. flights, into Uzbekistan.  There is some discussion of 
U.S. personnel going through Kirmez (ph).

But the rumor which followed on Fallon's comments certainly has been rejected, 
and actually vociferously rejected, by the Uzbek government.

So in that sense, it indicates to me that Karimov's attention is not directed 
so much toward the United States and waiting the United States out as it is in 
maintaining good relationships with more proximate powers -- namely, Russia and 
China -- although the China-U.S. link is not certainly as replete with tension 
as the Russia-U.S. link is today.

So in that sense, I don't think that's the calculus that Karimov is using.  I 
do think that he probably is fairly happy that people have begun to forget 
about Andijan.  And in that sense, broadly, I think, he has successfully waited 
out.

And that's where, again, I would point to some of the challenges with 
sanctions.  And we see in the case of Cuba, I think also in the case of 
Uzbekistan, that sanctions, if not done carefully, can in actuality produce the 
outcome that we least desire rather than the outcome we most desire.  So it has 
to be done very carefully.

MCNAMARA:  Yes, Masha?

LISITSYNA:  Yes, a quick comment.  I just would like to stress for those who 
might not know, the sanctions on Uzbekistan are like arms embargo and visa ban 
for travel officials, so they're not the kind -- because they don't touch the 
population.

And I would like just to say that it's different messages that the (inaudible) 
government sends to Uzbekistan.

European Union imposed sanctions six months after the massacre, and then 
Germany just gives a visa on the humanitarian grounds to the number one 
official on the visa ban for medical treatment in Germany.

When we say that sanction work, it just means that they should be taken 
seriously and like implemented seriously by all the actors.  And it's hard with 
E.U. because it's a lot of also bilateral relationships.

So our fear is that it's not unified messages from Uzbekistan partners, just 
allow (inaudible) think that it can get away with it and just close the 
(inaudible) of Andijan.

WILLIAMS:  Yes, I think that absolutely Karimov thinks that he's won.  I think 
the sanctions regime imposed by the E.U. was so weak it's rather like telling a 
child that it can -- you know, you're not allowed to do something, but you 
didn't really want to do it in the first place.  So it was just not really out 
there.

I think that what's interesting now is that the message you are hearing from 
the corporate sector is way ahead of governmental action, and I think that they 
-- I hope the U.S. will start to put this issue onto the agenda. 

The E.U. is starting to do that.  I know the Dutch, as I alluded to in my 
presentation, have raised the issue, and it's starting to be on the agenda.  
Uzbekistan has been completely off the public and political radar for too long.

And I think what we should be saying is that Uzbekistan is something akin to 
Burma and Zimbabwe, and why isn't it on the front page of our newspapers.  I 
think that we need to have government action now and political action that will 
secure a greater future for the Uzbek people.

We've sat by and ignored the situation for far too long.

JEFF GOLDSTEIN:  Good morning.  Jeff Goldstein from Freedom House.  I have a 
question for Ms. Lisitsyna, and one for you, Eric.

I understand that Human Rights Watch has dispatched an expatriate staffer to 
Tashkent recently, and I'd be very interested in knowing how that's working 
out, what kind of access does he have.

The broader question, when you spoke about supporting people who think 
differently, as opposed to, say, Azerbaijan and the first president Aliyev, 
Karimov seems to be doing everything possible not to groom a successor.

The people you speak with within the power structure in Uzbekistan -- what are 
they telling you about what they expect to happen after Karimov departs the 
picture one way or another?  And what is the likely role and how best can be 
supportive people who might want to change things after he goes?

LISITSYNA:  Thank you for the question.  Yes, we have a new country director 
who was allowed to enter Tashkent and went at the end of January -- in 
February, I think, and he still doesn't have accreditation.

He applied for accreditation.  All delays are passed by now.  And we have no 
answer from the Uzbek government.  So it's (inaudible) he can be in the 
country.  He's legal in the country.  He can travel.  But he can't really work 
the full extent, because he needs to be accredited.  The person has to be 
accredited by Uzbek government, and he still hasn't.

MCGLINCHEY:  Of course, I'm going to be oblique in answering some of this, 
because if one's too direct then it can be problematic for our colleague in 
Uzbekistan.

The thing that I would stress is people who may outwardly parrot, echo, the 
Karimov line in public, in private conversations actually express nuanced, 
sophisticated -- I would even go so far to say liberal views about polities and 
governance in Uzbekistan.

And there is an amazing potential -- not even potential, real -- I mean, it 
could be readily realized -- resource among the bureaucratic elite in 
Uzbekistan -- well educated, certainly well aware of alternative forms of 
governments, well aware of what's going on in Kyrgyzstan, the failures that 
have happened there, well aware of transitions elsewhere -- who have the 
knowledge that can be implemented should the Karimov government, for whatever 
reason, disappear.

That said, I mean, I think the overall tenor of what I'm hearing from people in 
Uzbekistan is this sense of continued decentralization of power.  I think 
that's already occurring under the Karimov government.

I think if you go to the regions, it's painfully apparent, and I know Human 
Rights Watch has done a lot of work in the regions.  And I think you guys -- on 
a regular basis, when you deal with people in the security services, no one 
really knows who's telling whom what to do.

So I think there is this sense that continued decentralization would -- that 
path would also be the path that would follow the departure of a Karimov 
government.  You know, privately I'd be happy to say more.  Just publicly, I'd 
refrain from actually getting into much detail.

DANIEL WAGGONER:  Hi.  Daniel Waggoner with the Center for International 
Private Enterprise. 

My question is for Ms. Williams.  Have there been any efforts to educate 
clothing producers or retailers about the human rights violations associated 
with the cultivation of cotton in Uzbekistan?

WILLIAMS:  Thank you.  Yes, we definitely -- and we're London based, so we've 
been talking very much.  We've had outreach to predominantly E.U. retailers, 
some of which are Tesco, the world's third largest retailer, and Marks & 
Spencer, which is a large U.K. retailer -- CNA, which has about 1,200 stores in 
16 countries across Europe.

We've had very much focus on the E.U.  I think that when they see the film, 
they see we have a report, "White Gold," they see that and they are shocked.

We've been in to meetings with people who have been badgered about sweatshops 
over the years, who have been badgered about human rights violations within 
clothing manufacture, and they see the footage of children out in the field and 
they're truly shocked.

So the responses that we're now getting back from companies is how can we avoid 
Uzbek cotton.  They don't want to be associated with something that has been 
linked to such profound human rights abuses, and not just the direct abuses of 
children being sent out, the state-sponsored forced child labor, which is, as I 
mentioned in m presentation, unique.

But the environmental costs where you have the Aral Sea being drained, and 
where you have a regime that is directly benefitting from the procurement of -- 
by western companies procuring the cotton.  So we're getting a good response 
now.

When I mentioned a few minutes ago that I think the corporate -- the voluntary 
actions are happening.  We do have companies that are saying, "We do not want 
to be associated with this regime."

And yet we have the political, the public forum, which is doing nothing, is 
doing very little, has these -- a few sanctions here and there, but they're not 
actually getting to the root and branch that -- we're not getting any kind of 
systemic change within the regime.

Karimov has won, unless we have some much stronger action.  And I think 
governments do need to run and catch up with where the corporates are going on 
this situation and try and have measured time band (ph) responses that will 
secure some -- a positive future for the Uzbek people.

MCNAMARA:  Sure.

JOSH KUCERA:  I'd like to follow up on that.  I'm Josh Kucera, freelance 
journalist. 

Could you talk about the -- whatever efforts you've made in the U.S. to 
convince U.S. retailers or clothing manufacturers or anybody like that do the 
same thing that the Europeans are doing?

Oh, and another question.  You said this is unique in the world.  My 
understanding is Turkmenistan also forces school kids to pick cotton.  Can you 
explain what the differences in those two countries are?

WILLIAMS:  In the U.S. we're just starting to outreach a lot of the -- I guess 
the big name brands, the Levis, the Nikes, the Gaps we've been talking to in 
Europe and are starting to talk to in terms of the U.S. headquarters now, so 
looking at getting an overall -- a global policy. 

What offices in the U.K. might say in response to our meetings, our 
information, and so on might be different to what the H.Q. are doing.  So it's 
been a slower process.

We believe that there will be a number of very, very large names coming out in 
the next few weeks to basically stand alongside the CNA, the Tescos, the Marks 
and Spencers and other major retailers in Europe, and they will have the same 
message, which is, "We do not want to be associated with Uzbek cotton."

You're right, Turkmenistan until recently had forced child labor on a smaller 
scale, but certainly it was state-sponsored.

There was a similar situation with production quotas.  So if the orders come 
down that you've got to fulfill these quotas, and the only way to do it, if the 
adults don't want to work, and you have got (inaudible) mechanization, is to 
get the kids out.

It's been on the wane.  And I understand all the colleagues here today might be 
able to correct me on this.  It's been something that certainly in the 
post-Niyazov time has been -- the general kind of liberalization has meant that 
children may still be out in the cotton fields, but it's not in the same rigid 
state-controlled situation.

It's not something where the order is unwritten, that they might be coming down 
from on high, this is what needs to happen, where stores are closed, on the 
same scale.

So yes, I would say in a historical context it was unique, but I think now 
today -- and I think this coming autumn we'll see that Uzbekistan still remains 
as the one and only, unique in the world for its use of state-sponsored forced 
child labor.

LISITSYNA:  It's a bit off topic, but very quickly, in Turkmenistan, I wouldn't 
speak about the general liberalization in Turkmenistan now.

Really, what Turkmenistan is doing is taking some very, again, visual actions 
(inaudible) is a cult of personality, so yes, the statue is taken down; yes, 
the names of the months are changed.

And yes, there is a decree that children should not be employed into the child 
labor and into the cotton field.  The research in Turkmenistan is still almost 
impossible.  None of the human rights organizations got like real access to the 
country.

Activists are still suppressed in Turkmenistan.  It's still very hard to 
communicate, still problems with Internet access, et cetera.  So I wouldn't say 
from our perspective of Human Rights Watch -- yes, there is this decree.  Yes, 
there is less child labor.

But maybe they don't know of -- because it's still very hard to do the research 
in Turkmenistan, and it's one of the countries I work on.  And on the ground, 
it's almost the same as it was under Niyazov.

TULAGANOVA:  When we talk about Central Asia and forced child labor, 
Turkmenistan and Tajikistan both produce cotton, but on a smaller scale, much 
smaller scale, than Uzbekistan.  Uzbekistan is one of the leading cotton 
producers in the world, number one.

Number two, by formally abolishing child labor even during (inaudible), at 
least the government of Turkmenistan acknowledged that they had child labor.  
In Uzbekistan, we see the total denial from the authorities of this fact.

And we had several statements from the Uzbek official ministry saying that 
child labor doesn't exist in Uzbekistan, so at least, you know, in Turkmenistan 
they had the courage to formally recognize it.

As far as Tajikistan is concerned, yes, we know that child labor, forced child 
labor, is happening there, in a much smaller scale, again, because of the small 
cotton production.

And B, because it's happening in tiny little regions, and obviously this is not 
a state-sponsored thing but more related to the decision of the regional 
authorities.

MIKE AMITAY:  I'm Mike Amitay at OSI.

For Dr. McGlinchey and Ms. Tulaganova, if this $1 billion windfall, let's say, 
for the Uzbek regime was somehow diminished by an international boycott or 
other types of sanction, can you speculate on what would happen to the regime 
and to the society?

TULAGANOVA:  Well, if the Uzbek government won't liberalize the cotton sector 
-- obviously, the cotton sector is so tied up with the liberalization of the 
whole economy, which I don't think they're willing to do now and not in 
foreseeable future.

I think we will face a situation when we have more people migrating to the 
neighboring countries to earn some money, if the Uzbek government will decide 
to introduce severe dictation of these honest people.  So I think we will see 
(inaudible) in the space of not Tashkent but regional centers.

My colleagues already mentioned the food prices going up.  We have seen reports 
in Buhara region and Jizak region of sporadic protests of the local population 
protesting against increasing food prices.

So I expect that if there's going to be no $1 billion industry, so we'll cut in 
a way the bloodline for the Uzbek elite earning money, and we'll probably 
expect some sporadic protests across the country.

I think Eric is in a better position to answer that question.

MCGLINCHEY:  I'm in large agreement.  I mean, in think really you're posing two 
questions, and it's actually one that I would pose to Ms. Williams as well as a 
co-traveler rather than as someone who questions the strategy.

The first question is would the boycott work.  And my fear is although it might 
work in the west, I wonder about how it would be implemented in places like 
Russia or China, places where we know simply from our own experience with toy 
manufacturing in the United States it's very hard to police the supply chain.

So because cotton is a fungible good, like oil is -- and we have experience 
with oil sanctions regimes -- it's going to be hard to do.  It doesn't mean 
that we shouldn't do it.  Ethically, it's incumbent upon us to do it.  But it 
begs the question will it work in the first place.  I hope it does.

The second question -- what would happen if it were to work -- Central Asian 
governments are little changed from their Soviet predecessors.  These are 
patronage politics regimes.

If you look at the countries that have survived relatively unscathed -- 
Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan -- that's because they have easy access to readily 
exploitable rents.

Kazakhstan, of course, has oil.  Uzbekistan, it's gold, gas and cotton.  If you 
remove the cotton factor, you still have gold and gas, but it's not as readily 
exploitable as cotton is.

So I mean, I think what we would see is a very -- a considerable erosion of 
patronage politics.  And in Uzbekistan, I think we're already seeing an erosion 
of patronage politics in Uzbekistan.

The system's not working.  You see these desperate attempts by the Karimov 
government to build other networks of patronage.  This Kamolot youth 
organization, for example, is just like the Komsomol, its predecessor.  It's a 
desperate attempt to create a loyal youth, which isn't really working.

But I think you'd see an acceleration of this collapse of patronage politics 
and then a further fragmentation of the Uzbek state.

WILLIAMS:  How do we trace -- OK, the answer to the boycott.  We have been in 
dialogue with European companies for -- we launched our report, "White Gold," 
back in early 2006.

It's taken almost two years for most of those big companies that have a huge 
number of clothing factories around the world to be able to be in a position 
where they say, "We now know where this commodity is coming from."

Previously, there was an incredibly opaque supply chain.  The way cotton is 
produced on the field, the various ginning and the process as it goes through, 
the way it's sold, the way it's traded, is incredibly complex and very opaque.

It's quite a tricky one to actually take the trail back, but we've been able to 
do that.  We've worked very closely with companies.  We basically said, "You 
can do this if you try hard enough, if you have the will to do it," and it 
comes down to paperwork.

It comes down to some due diligence, and that's why the companies were so 
impressed by the problems that they were being presented with and the message 
that we were presenting to them from grassroots civil society activists in 
Uzbekistan that they wanted to do this.

And so it's taken them two years to trace the supply chain backwards.  It's 
doable.  Most of the cotton -- Uzbekistan has very little in terms of clothing 
manufacturing within the country.  Most of the cotton is exported.

It goes to places like Latvia.  It goes to Russia, China.  Bangladesh is a huge 
one in terms of the clothing, the retail sector, that ultimately ends up in 
European high streets.

So the process for those companies and for us working with them, and with 
experts in supply chain and sort of commodity tracing has been to just track it 
back to the people that they're procuring from and take it each step of the way 
back.

And that's what we've been able to do.  Hence, Tesco and Marks and Spencer 
being able to say categorically that they will no longer have any Uzbek cotton 
within their products by -- actually, by July as well they're giving sort of 
the 100 percent guarantee and assurance.

I think that there are other things that can take place.  CNA, which is this 
big European clothing retailer, told us recently that when they made their 
announcement, the public announcement, that they would no longer buy Uzbek 
cotton, it really meant a lot, because they were buying directly from 
Uzbekistan.

They were one of the few big companies that were buying from apparel 
manufacturers within the Tashkent region.  So we know that there are clear 
messages getting back to the government, and that's what we want.

We're not saying that Uzbek cotton is any worse than any other cotton.  We're 
saying there just need to be changes within the way it's produced and traded, 
and we to get a bigger benefit to the Uzbek people and get rid of the abuses 
that are associated with it.

So that's where we're up to now.  I hope the boycott is a way of raising public 
awareness, political awareness and of corporates being able to publicly say, 
"We're taking a stance on this issue," and we want to see action.

LAUREN SMITH:  Hi.  I'm Lauren Smith.  I'm with (inaudible) State Department.

And I'm just wondering -- a follow-up on the boycott question.  Do you see 
potential in other industries in Uzbekistan that may be less destructive, are, 
you know (inaudible) better places to work, or if this boycott went into 
effect, what would be a good industry to stimulate?

WILLIAMS:  What we want to happen is liberalization within the cotton sector.  
We're not trying to replace it.  Uzbekistan gets 60 percent of its hard 
currency from cotton.  It's a huge -- it's a major commodity.  It's a major 
source of income for the regime.

What we're saying is that there can be some straightforward liberalization that 
means that people can make a decent livelihood and a living.

As we saw from the film, you have people who are saying, "I want to be on that 
side of the border," but they're not.  They're working in Kyrgyzstan or 
Kazakhstan because they cannot make a livelihood in their homeland.

If Uzbek cotton farmers are compelled to sell their cotton produced -- they're 
told how to produce this thing.  They're given all of the input.  They're told 
how to grow it, when to grow it, when to produce it.  They're told which kids 
to pull out of school to harvest it.

They are compelled by the government to sell to one of three state-owned export 
companies which have a complete monopoly on the export.  It's so tightly -- 
it's so rigid.

If you were able to liberalize that end to get rid of the -- this top-down 
mechanism and processing where farmers are able to decide how they grow their 
cotton and whom they sell it to, an extra liberalization, then you have a 
cotton sector that is like its neighboring cotton sectors.

To the north, you have cotton farmers who are making a good living out of this. 
 You have cotton farmers who are now looking at organic cotton, who are fair -- 
getting fair trade prices for their cotton.  That's not happening in Uzbekistan 
simply because you still have a Soviet style quota production system.

And so there are policies that can be changed that will improve the sector, and 
that's what we're saying.  We're not trying to encourage diversity or 
(inaudible).

We're saying the basis is there for sustainable livelihoods.  You need to have 
some improvements in the way that this is overseen and in the way the 
production takes place.

MCGLINCHEY:  Something quickly.  I'd like to just slightly -- I'd like to 
present an alternative view on this, and that is I'd like to basically flat out 
say that cotton in Uzbekistan and cotton in Central Asia writ large is not 
sustainable.  It's an unsustainable industry.

So even if one changes the way cotton is -- the pricing structure, the state 
boards that buy the cotton, like the state boards in Africa used to buy the 
coffee beans -- in contrast to Africa, where coffee is sustainable, cotton in 
Uzbekistan or in Central Asia just flat out is not sustainable.

If one travels to the water basins in the mountains in Central Asia, it becomes 
painfully visible that this just can't go on.

You know, one of my alternative pursuits when I'm not being depressed about 
human rights abuses in Central Asia is to go up into the mountains, and every 
time I go up there, you see the glaciers retreating, and it's only a matter of 
time.

This is not a renewable resource.  Water's not, unfortunately, a renewable 
resource in Central Asia, and the Aral Sea is almost tapped, and now the 
glacier stores are going to be tapped, and in the long run something else 
besides cotton has to be promoted.

It doesn't mean in the short run that there can't be improvements in the 
industry.  It's just in the long run.  And I think the long run might not be as 
long as we think.  It just can't go on.

MCNAMARA:  Thank you very much.

And again, please do visit the commission's Web site, www.CSCE.gov.  Thank you 
very much.

     [Whereupon the briefing ended at 11:15 a.m.]

END